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Nine stowaways' bodies were found in Tunisia, and Tunisia's national news agency reported on the 12th that its coast guard found nine stowaways' bodies in the waters near Mahdiyah province in the east.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.

Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.According to the medical report, Brazilian President Lula removed the drainage tube from his head at night and is still in the intensive care unit. Lula is still conscious and speaks normally.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe that the Gaza agreement may be reached soon. US National Security Adviser Sullivan said on Thursday that he believes that an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza may be reached soon, because Israel has indicated that it is ready and Hamas has shown signs of action.

On the tariffs proposed by the Trump administration, Costco executives said that the company had faced tariffs in the past and believed that its businesses had the ability to cope with this situation.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe that the Gaza agreement may be reached soon. US National Security Adviser Sullivan said on Thursday that he believes that an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza may be reached soon, because Israel has indicated that it is ready and Hamas has shown signs of action.The yield of long-term US Treasury bonds rose by at least 7 basis points. Yellen auctioned 30-year US Treasury bonds at noon in new york, and the demand was weak. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), the yield of US 10-year benchmark Treasury bonds rose by 6.26 basis points, rising for the fourth consecutive trading day, reaching 4.3337% on the refresh day, approaching 4.3668% at the top of November 25, at 08:08 Beijing time (at the beginning of the Asia-Pacific session, Most of the day was on the rise, and there was a V-shaped reversal after the European Central Bank announced the interest rate cut at 21:15, after the US PPI data was released, and after the US stock market opened.